Wednesday, September 12, 2012
This is based on a 10 team PPR Yahoo! league that starts one quarterback, two running backs, two wide receivers, one tight end and one flex(W/R) player. I'm denoting "sleeper" as less than 75% owned, though, there may be borderline players that I don't include because they're probably not available in most leagues. Also, this is only week two so you should still be starting most of the players you drafted, but if you feel like swinging for the fences with some boom or bust picks be my guest.
My Yahoo! league tells me that Joe Flacco is 74% owned. Technically, he's under that 75% bar, but I wouldn't consider him a sleeper after that Monday night performance.
Sam Bradford: Currently 22% ownership. Bradford was serviceable in his opener against Detroit going 17/25(68%) for 198 yards and 1 touchdown with no turnovers. His opponent this week, the Washington Redskins, got out to a quick start against the New Orleans Saints last Sunday and survived Drew Brees trying to pass his way back into a win. Here's the thing though, Washington's defense only had to defend 10 rushing attempts. Steven Jackson should rack up at least twice as many, and open up the field for Bradford. I can see Bradford passing for at least 250 yards and two scores.
Christian Ponder: Currently 12% owned. Ponder really didn't do much last week versus the Jaguars, but with AP rumbling for two touchdowns he didn't really need to. This week's opponent, the Indianapolis Colts, is fresh off giving up over 300 yards passing and two touchdowns to Jay Cutler. I expect to see much more impressive offense take the field for Minnesota this weekend, and Ponder should put up 300+ yards and two touchdowns.
Andy Dalton: Currently 50% owned. Cincinnati got torched by the Ravens on Monday night, but a lot of that was due to the defense's inability to stop Baltimore's offense. Joe Flacco only threw eight incompletions while hitting almost 300 yards and connecting for two touchdowns. Brandon Weeden will not do that this week, and I like Cincinnati to get rolling early in this game. I'd peg Dalton for 250 yards passing and at least two, maybe three, touchdowns.
Alfred Morris: Currently 74% owned. Yes, Mike Shanahan backfields are where fantasy football running backs go to die. And yes, Morris is fairly one dimensional seeing as how he isn't a great receiver. However, that one dimension is pretty good, and it's the reason a lot of fantasy football "experts" drafted Morris in the latter rounds. He faces a St. Louis defense that allowed Kevin Smith to run for 62 yards and a touchdown on just 13 carries. I think Morris gets twice as many against the Rams, and should be able to rack up 100 yards and at least one, possibly two, touchdowns. It can't be stated enough that should the rookie make a mistake, Shanahan will yank him and ruin your fantasy day.
Mark Ingram: Currently 59% owned. Since the Saints fell behind early Ingram had only six rushing attempts, and he only managed to rack up a measly 15 yards. A lot of people expected Ingram to get a bulk of the goal line work, and after one week most of them have probably wiped him off their roster. This week he should get some scoring opportunities against a Carolina defense that gave up almost 100 yards rushing to Doug Martin. Ingram is good for 75 yards rushing and one touchdown.
Dexter McCluster: Currently 33% owned. In my league McCluster is listed at both WR & RB, and I wouldn't have any problems plugging him into either spot, especially in a PPR format. Last week against the Falcons McCluster caught six passes for 82 yards. This week, he gets to face a Buffalo defense that looked soft against the Jets last Sunday. I can see him racking up similar totals with a touchdown added to his numbers.
Stephen Hill: Currently 51% owned. Seriously, if you need any sort of wide receiver help on your fantasy team give him a look. I know he's a rookie receiver, and they can tend to disappear at times but Sanchez will throw his way a lot this season. Yes, he's facing Pittsburgh's secondary this week, but I still like him for 50 yards and a score.
Donald Jones: Currently 4% owned. In a game where just about everything went wrong, Jones was one of the lone bright spots for Buffalo. We're only one game into the season, but it looks like he's ready to make an impact every week. With David Nelson going down due to a torn ACL I can see Jones picking up a few more targets against a Kansas City secondary that was carved up by Matty Ice. Jones should be good for at least 80 yards and a touchdown.
Michael Jenkins: Currently 1% owned. Are there a lot of other receivers that I could include instead of Jenkins? Yes. However, I think he's almost assured of 75 yards and touchdown against the Colts. Indy's secondary couldn't keep Brandon Marshall or Alshon Jeffrey out of the end zone, and while Jenkins isn't as talented as that duo, he does have the same size and strength to rack up stats.
Coby Fleener: Currently 52% owned. Andrew Luck is going to throw Fleener a lot of passes this year, and like last week when he caught six of them for 82 yards I like him to go for 75+ yards and a score against a Minnesota defense that gave up decent numbers to Marcedes Lewis in week one.
Dennis Pitta: Currently 19% owned. It will be tough week to week to predict which Baltimore tight end will have more success. This week I'm leaning towards Pitta because he looked a little better than Dickson on Monday night. Against the Eagles this week I think he'll end up with 75 yards and a touchdown.
Marcedes Lewis: Currently 10% owned. Speaking of Marcedes Lewis, he put together a nice week outting. He's facing a stiffer Houston defense this week, so he might not grab another touchdown but the yards should be there and I really like him in PPR leagues.
Dan Carpenter: Currently 25% owned. Oakland gave up five field goals Nate Kaeding. Granted, Miami's offense is still in disarray, but Oakland has to travel across the country for a 1 p.m. game on the East Coast after a late Monday night game. Miami should be able to move the ball enough to give Carpenter some chances, and he has the leg to take advantage. I predict three field goals, all from 30+ yards.
San Diego Chargers: Currently 9% owned. The Chargers defense tallied good numbers against the Raiders last week, and I expect them to do the same versus a Tennessee team that couldn't do anything against New England. Locker is banged up, and San Diego is coming off a good(albeit lucky) win against a bitter division rival. I look for them to rack up some good points on the defensive side of the ball.
Posted by BDoc at 9:51 PM